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Investigation report on stocks of rapeseed, rapeseed oil and meal in coastal areas and East China(week 42)

2017-10-24 www.cofeed.com

I.Stocks, arrivals and machine operation of rapeseed

Till October 20th this week, coastal stocks of imported rapeseed are slightly gained to 262,000 tonnes due to arrivals of rapeseed in some oil factories, higher by 9.85% from last week’s 238,500 tonnes, an increase of 23,500 tonnes, and up 42.39% over the same period last year of 184,000 tonnes. While total rapeseed stocks in such regions as Guangxi, Guangdong and Fujian are increased to 240,500 tonnes, which is up 16.18% against 207,000 tonnes last week, but down 0.21% over the same period in the previous year of 241,000 tonnes. Port arrivals of rapeseed in October, November and December will not be much, in detail, 316,500 tonnes, 360,000 tonnes and 330,000 tonnes respectively, consequently, rapeseed crush in the following three months is expected to be general. Yet, a significant import of soybeans in November and December(18.1 Mln tonnes or even more in total) will boost outputs of soybean oil and meal, which will dwarf the market of rapeseed oil and meal to some degree, such being the cases, supplies of rapeseed oil and meal will be sufficient overall.

Area/Enterprise

Rapeseed stocks (unitten thousand tonnes

Week 42

Week 41

Fluctuation

Guangxi

6.3

6.9

-0.6

Guangdong

9.6

9.3

0.3

Fujian

8.15

4.5

3.65

Kerry, Yingkou

1

1

0

Jiangsu

1.15

2.15

-1

Total

26.2

23.85

2.35


II. Stocks of rapeseed oil and amounts in outstanding contracts

Operating rate in oil factories starts to rebound slightly this week(till October 20th)on the back of its quickening delivery in middle and downstream enterprises, consequently, rapeseed oil stocks in regions are plunged to 384,900 tonnes, down 14.94% from last week’s 452,500 tonnes, a decline of 67,600 tonnes, but up 16.67% over the same period last year of 329,900 tonnes. Details for weekly stocks are shown as follows:

Area/Enterprise

Rapeseed stocks (unitten thousand tonnes

Week 42

Week 41

Fluctuation

Guangxi

4.25

4.58

-0.33

Guangdong

3.85

4.4

-0.55

Fujian

2.7

3.1

-0.4

Kerry, Yingkou

1.7

2.1

-0.4

East China

25.99

31.77

-5.78

Total

38.49

45.25

-6.76


III.Coastal stocks of rapeseed meal and amounts in outstanding contracts
Operating rate in oil factories continued to recover this week(till October 20th) amid overwhelming delivery in feed enterprises but low rapeseed meal outputs, such being the cases, rapeseed stocks continue to slump, which is down 27.03% from 18,500 tonnes of last week to 13,500 tonnes, a decrease of 5,000 tonnes, yet up 132.76% over the same period last year of 5,800 tonnes. Details for weekly stocks are shown as follows:

Area/Enterprise

Rapeseed stocks (unitten thousand tonnes

Week 42

Week 41

Fluctuation

Guangxi

0.4

0.55

-0.15

Guangdong

0.3

0.3

0

Fujian

0.25

0.8

-0.55

Kerry, Yingkou

0

0

0

Jiangsu

0.4

0.2

0.2

Total

1.35

1.85

-0.5