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Daily Review on Grain Market in China

2018-12-21 www.cofeed.com
      Today (Dec.21st), the market for grains in China is shown as follows:
  
      Corn: Domestic corn price continues its weak trend partially today. Prices mostly stay at a range of 1,904-2,034 yuan/tonne among Shandong processing enterprises, down by another 6-20 yuan/tonne partially from yesterday. At Jinzhou port, Liaoning, 2018 new corn with 20% moisture is unchanged at 1,750 yuan/tonne, and 15% moisture of volume weight over 700 g/L is unchanged at 1,860 yuan/tonne; old corn is unchanged at 1,850 yuan/tonne (volume weight 700 g/L). At Bayuquan port, 2018 new corn goes down by 10 yuan/tonne at lows to 1,840-1,850 yuan/tonne (volume weight 700-720 g/L). At Shekou port, Guangdong, second-class old corn goes down by 10 yuan to 1,960-1,980 yuan/tonne. 

      While corn sale pace is slower than last year to complete by 20% from local planters in Northeast, the marketing time available has got shorter and shorter as the year draws to a close; thus, holders embark on shipment at a greater pace amid weakening market sentiment. Moreover, imported corn will arrive at port in late December. Under such circumstances, corn supply tends to loose. But processing enterprises, on the other hand, have gradually built their stocks so that they continue to force down the price to sound out the bottom of the market, with another reduction of 6-30 yuan/tonne today. In addition, corn feed consumption is still subject to the contagious African swine fever since feed companies are circumspect in purchase. On the whole, corn market is predicted to go downside vulnerably under the growing supply pressure and the absence of bullish supports. But grain-consumed companies will be in rigid demand for stockpiles before the Chinese Spring Festival entering January. Market participants can closely watch the game between sale paces among planters and stockpiles among grain-consumed companies. 

      Sorghum: Imported sorghum price stays stable today. (US sorghum: raw sorghum is unchanged at 2,120 yuan/tonne in Shanghai and not offered for out of stocks in Nantong, Zhangjiagang and Guangdong. Australian sorghum: raw sorghum is unchanged at 2,230 yuan/tonne in Tianjin, 2,180 in Shanghai, 2,250 in Nantong, 2,180-2,200 yuan/tonne in Qingdao and 2,400 in Guangdong; dried sorghum is unchanged at 2,340 in Tianjin, 2,350-2,360 in Nantong and 2,320 yuan/tonne in Qingdao. Domestic sorghum price keeps steady to down today: In Yuncheng, Shanxi, raw sorghum is unchanged at 2,100 yuan/tonne; in Hinggan League, inner Mongolia, raw sorghum and dried sorghum with freight remain unchanged 1,900 and 1,980 yuan/tonne; in Chifeng, inner Mongolia, raw sorghum goes down by 40 yuan at highs to 2,000 and dried sorghum remains unchanged at 2,140 yuan/tonne; in Changchun, Jilin, dried sorghum with freight is unchanged at 2,240 yuan/tonne; in Qiqihar, Heilongjiange, dried sorghum with freight is 2,040 yuan/tonne; in Daqing, Heilongjiang, raw sorghum and dried sorghum with freight both remain unchanged at 1,960 and 2,060 yuan/tonne; in Heihe, dried sorghum with freight goes down by 60 yuan to 2,000 yuan/tonne).

      Barley: Barley price stays stable to see some declines today. (Australian barley: raw sorghum is unchanged at 2,250 yuan/tonne in Qingdao and 2,200-2,210 in Nantong; Canadian barley: raw barley is unchanged at 2,130-2,140 yuan/tonne in Nantong; French barley: raw barley is unchanged at 2,080-2,090 yuan/tonne in Nantong; Ukrainian barley: raw sorghum goes down by 30 yuan/tonne to 1,950 yuan/tonne in Guangdong).

      Expectations rose that China would open its market now that the US and Chinese leaders had achieved a consensus. The bearish sentiment for possible growing US sorghum imports is now cracking down the market. Besides, port sorghum and barley, the energy feed substitutes of corn, have lost their price advantages so that light demand for sorghum has also weighed on the market shipment. However, port sorghum has nearly run out of stock, which makes investors become more willing to lift the price amid supply shortages and high cost. In addition, subject to the?policies of “anti-dumping” and “anti-subsidy”, port barley may see a smaller import volume as its import cost will be raised largely. And this will give support to barley market at its bottom so that the market is confident in propping up the price. In the game of the supply and the demand, port grain prices remain stable today, and port sorghum and barley market will likely show narrow fluctuations in the short term.

(USD $1=CNY 6.89)