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China’s Soybean Crush Monthly (Aug, 2019)

2019-09-05 www.cofeed.com

    I.Soybean crush in August in China

    According to our final detailed investigation and verification, soybean crush of oil mills in August totals 7,571,450 tonnes (meal 5,981,445 tonnes and oil 1,438,575 tonnes), up 863,150 tonnes by 12.86% from 6,708,300 tonnes in July, yet down by 8.26% from 8,253,652 tonnes of the same period last year.

    So far, soybean crush nationwide totals 77,524,950 tonnes in the crushing year of 2018/19 (from Oct. 1st, 2018), down 4,368,022 tonnes by 5.33% from 81,892,972 tonnes in 2017/18. In calendar 2019 (from Jan. 1st, 2019), national soybean crush totals 54,467,450 tonnes, down 3,100,002 tonnes by 5.38% from 57,567,452 tonnes in 2018.


Soybean Crush in August in China by Region (tonne)
Ranking Region 1st-2nd 3rd-9th 10th-16th 17th-23rd 24th-30th 31st Total
1 Jiangsu 87000 313500 320000 303500 349500 52000 1425500
2 Shandong 83400 325300 293400 278800 336900 55350 1373150
3 Guangdong 44200 207100 168000 169700 242500 29700 861200
4 Guangxi 51600 165000 146000 195000 195500 26500 779600
5 Hebei 36000 134000 126000 133000 137000 18000 584000
6 Tianjin 25000 117500 117500 134500 147000 21000 562500
7 Liaoning 23600 124100 113600 114600 140600 22600 539100
8 Fujian 19800 75100 74000 96500 77000 11000 353400
9 Hubei 8800 42700 45700 33700 27600 3000 161500
10 Zhejiang 8400 33500 33500 47000 20500 2500 145400
11 Sichuan 13000 17000 7700 28700 55100 8400 129900
12 Henan 9600 13200 18600 35200 39200 5600 121400
13 Shaanxi 6400 8000 16400 28400 30800 4400 94400
14 Heilongjiang 7600 24600 19600 19600 19600 2800 93800
15 Jilin 0 20000 28000 28000 4000 0 80000
16 Hunan 4600 10600 7000 19600 19600 2800 64200
17 Chongqing 0 7500 17500 17500 17500 2500 62500
18 Anhui 4400 8400 9400 13000 12500 2200 49900
19 Jiangxi 3000 10500 10500 10500 10500 1500 46500
20 Shanghai 0 0 5000 17500 17500 2500 42500
21 Neimenggu 0 0 1000 0 0 0 1000
22 Xinjiang 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
23 Shanxi 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
  Total 436400 1657600 1578400 1724300 1900400 274350 7571450
Remarks: Above is the final data after verification.

    II.Soybean imports in China

    China’s Customs: Soybean Import in China by Month (0’000 tonnes)

M/Y

2018

2019

Jan

848.07

737.70

Feb

542.42

446.00

Mar

566.20

492.00

Apr

690.00

764.00

May

969.00

736.00

Jun

870.00

651.32

Jul

801.00

864.03

Aug

915.00

910.50

Sep

801.00

802.00

Oct

692.00

800.00

Nov

538.39

790.00

Dec

572.06

680.00

Total

8805.14

8673.55


    According to Cofeed, the import is predicted to be 123 cargoes with 8.022 mln tonnes for September, 8.0 mln tonnes for October, 7.90 mln tonnes for November and 6.80 mln tonnes for December. Statistics will be updated every week on account of variable and unstable buying.  

    III.Monthly carryover inventory at ports in China

    Due to a significant rise in crush, soybean inventory has slightly decreased in August. By the end of August, imported soybean inventory totals 6,423,000 tonnes, down 151,500 tonnes by 2.35% from 6,574,500 tonnes in July and down by 33.66% from 8,585,000 tonnes of the corresponding period last year. The inventory is predicted to fall further on smaller arrivals at ports later.

    IV.Soybean Crush Margins in China

Soybean Crush Margins in China (yuan/tonne)

Date

U.S. soybean

Bra. soybean

Ar. soybean

Distributed

Domestic

Aug. 1

-755

-7

-47

-548

-285

Aug. 2

-681

57

17

-517

-232

Aug. 5

-704

-32

-29

-499

-197

Aug. 6

-688

-15

-31

-466

-170

Aug. 7

-707

-24

-7

-458

-166

Aug. 8

-683

-2

14

-435

-144

Aug. 9

-707

-12

2

-395

-106

Aug. 12

-716

-24

-21

-364

-93

Aug. 13

-635

43

48

-330

-45

Aug. 14

-629

46

40

-345

-50

Aug. 15

-604

43

36

-356

-53

Aug. 16

-574

45

43

-349

-82

Aug. 19

-601

24

22

-346

-83

Aug. 20

-564

36

-1

-345

-80

Aug. 21

-566

34

-7

-345

-62

Aug. 22

-569

39

-6

-282

-143

Aug. 23

-554

42

4

-270

-129

Aug. 26

-596

110

103

-173

-41

Aug. 27

-633

52

45

-196

-81

Aug. 28

-618

55

32

-211

-89

Aug. 29

-607

86

45

-179

-62

Aug. 30

-626

95

70

-179

-90