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Cofeed: China Soybean Oil Supply and Demand Estimates (October, 2019)

2019-10-09 www.cofeed.com
China Soybean Oil Supply & Demand Estimates Yearly (crop year: Oct.-Sept, unit: 0’000 tonnes.)
Item/Year 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20
Est. Est. Est. Est. Sep Proj. Oct Proj. Sep Proj. Oct Proj.
Beginning Stocks 131 97 118 148 171 171 137 135
Domestic Production 1394 1476 1577 1614 1537 1541 1570 1570
Imports 74 53 58 48 65 75 70 70
Total Supply 1599 1626 1753 1810 1773 1787 1777 1775
 
Domestic Consumption 1492 1500 1594 1627 1624 1633 1639 1637
food consumption 1348 1356 1452 1477 1474 1483 1489 1487
Other Consumption 144 144 142 150 150 150 150 150
Yearly Exports 10 8 11 12 12 19 12 12
Total Use 1502 1508 1605 1639 1636 1652 1651 1649
 
Ending Stocks 97 118 148 171 137 135 126 126
Stock-to-use Ratio 6.46% 7.82% 9.22% 10.43% 8.37% 8.17% 7.63% 7.64%

 

China Soybean Oil Supply & Demand Estimates Monthly (unit: 0’000 tonnes)
Year Est. Beginning Stocks Domestic Production Imports Total Supply Domestic Consumption Of which Of which Exports Total Use Ending Stocks
Food Consumption Other Consumption
2019 Jan 160 128 7 295 160 148 12 1 161 134
Feb 134 67 7 208 73 61 12 1 74 134
Mar 134 127 1 262 126 114 12 2 128 134
Apr 134 129 1 264 123 111 12 2 125 139
May 139 141 5 285 143 130 13 1 144 141
Jun 141 133 6 280 132 119 13 1 133 147
Jul 147 124 13 284 143 130 13 2 145 139
Aug 139 140 12 291 154 141 13 3 157 134
Sept 134 138 4 276 140 126 14 1 141 135
Oct 135 131 8 274 134 122 12 1 135 139
Nov 139 135 7 281 138 126 12 1 139 142
Dec 142 137 16 295 154 142 12 1 155 140