I. Rapeseed: stock and port arrival
This week (ended Dec. 27th), rapeseed inventory totals 103,000 tonnes in domestic coastal areas, a reduction of 47,000 tonnes by 31.3% from 150,000 tonnes last week and by 75.5% from 420,500 tonnes of the corresponding period last year. Among them, stock in Guangxi, Guangdong and Fujian is 103,000 tonnes, down 31.3% from 150,000 tonnes last week and down by 65.72% from 300,500 tonnes of the same week in the previous year. China and Canada are still in a stalemate. According to Cofeed, there will be 150,000 tonnes in December, and 3 Australian cargoes or 90,000 tonnes as well as 60,000 tonnes of Canadian rapeseed in January. Only when there is a thaw between China and Canada will Chinese firms start to buy Canadian rapeseed substantially. It is less likely that China and Canada will see a thaw very soon, and even if there is a thaw, it will take some time for the process of purchase, loading and arrival. Currently, only several private importers still have rapeseed arriving at ports. Rapeseed supply will remain tight later.
Fig. 1: China’s Rapeseed Stocks in Recent Years
II. Rapeseed oil stock
This week (ended Dec. 27th), rapeseed oil stock is 341,800 tonnes in domestic coastal regions, down 5,200 tonnes by 1.50% from 347,000 tonnes last week and down by 37.26% from 544,800 tonnes of the same period last year. More details for stocks:
Fig. 2: China’s Rapeseed Oil Stocks in Recent Years
III. Rapeseed meal stock
This week (ended Dec. 27th), rapeseed meal stock has totaled 16,000 tonnes in domestic coastal regions, up 3,000 tonnes by 23.08% from 13,000 tonnes last week yet down by 38.46% from 26,000 tonnes of the same period last year. More details for stocks:
Fig. 3: China’s Rapeseed Meal Stocks in Recent Years