I. Rapeseed: stock and port arrival
This week (ended Jan. 17th), rapeseed inventory totals 169,000 tonnes in domestic coastal areas, an increase of 73,000 tonnes by 76.04% from 96,000 tonnes last week yet by 53.76% from 365,500 tonnes of the corresponding period last year. Among them, stock in Guangxi, Guangdong and Fujian is 161,000 tonnes, up 82.95% from 88,000 tonnes last week yet down by 31.34% from 234,500 tonnes of the same week in the previous year. China and Canada are still in a stalemate. According to Cofeed, there will be 3 Australian cargoes or 90,000 tonnes as well as 60,000 tonnes of Canadian rapeseed in January, and 1 Australian cargo as well as 60,000 tonnes of Canadian rapeseed in February. Only when there is a thaw between China and Canada will Chinese firms start to buy Canadian rapeseed substantially. It is less likely that China and Canada will see a thaw very soon, and even if there is a thaw, it will take some time for the process of purchase, loading and arrival. Currently, only several private importers still have rapeseed arriving at ports. Rapeseed supply will remain tight later.
Fig. 1: China’s Rapeseed Stocks in Recent Years
II. Rapeseed oil stock
This week (ended Jan. 17th), rapeseed oil stock is 272200 tonnes in domestic coastal regions, down 25,000 tonnes by 8.41% from 297,200 tonnes last week and down by 47.36% from 517,100 tonnes of the same period last year. More details for stocks:
Fig. 2: China’s Rapeseed Oil Stocks in Recent Years
III. Rapeseed meal stock
This week (ended Jan. 17th), rapeseed meal stock has totaled 11,000 tonnes in domestic coastal regions, down 5,500 tonnes by 33.33% from 16,500 tonnes last week and down by 56% from 25,000 tonnes of the same period last year. More details for stocks:
Fig. 3: China’s Rapeseed Meal Stocks in Recent Years