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China’s Palm Oil Stocks and Arrivals Weekly (Week 7, 2020)

2020-02-18 www.cofeed.com
I.National stocks

As of this Friday (Feb. 14), edible palm oil stock totals 942,200 tonnes at domestic ports, down 0.3% from 945,100 tonnes a week earlier; up 89,900 tonnes or 10.5% from 852,300 tonnes the same period last month; up 175,600 tonnes or 22.9% from 766,600 tonnes the same period last year. Meanwhile, industrial palm oil stock at domestic ports totals 160,500 tonnes, up 15,200 tonnes or 10.46% from 145,300 tonnes last week.

This week, domestic edible palm oil stocks decline slightly. But the price spread between soybean oil and palm oil still stays at a low level, which remains at 458 yuan/tonne as of this Friday. However, the demand for oils is affected by the spread of novel coronavirus pneumonia epidemic, and oil futures significantly drop at home and abroad this week. Moreover, oils market has been in an off season after holiday, and the delivery of palm oil has been delayed. In consequence, the trading volume of palm oil is very light this week, which totals 4,350 tonnes with a decrease of 3,910 tonnes or 47.3% from 8,260 tonnes last week. Additionally, China’s buyers have bought not many cargoes of palm oil due to the poor import profit, so edible palm oil stocks are likely to slide in later period.

Region
/Port

Edible Palm Oil Stocks0'000 mT

 

Industrial Palm Oil Stocks

W7

W6

Change

M-O-M

Y-O-Y

W7

W6

Change

Tianjin Port

14.55

15.4

-0.85

23.30%

5.80%

1.2

1.2

0

Hebei

0.8

0.7

0.1

100.00%

166.70%

0.3

0.5

-0.2

Shandong Port

3.3

3.55

-0.25

-20.90%

0.00%

1.55

1.65

-0.1

East China

35.02

32.47

2.55

13.15%

52.86%

9.9

8.3

1.6

Guangdong

32.9

34.15

-1.25

8.20%

4.10%

2.62

2.45

0.17

Guangxi

3.82

4.39

-0.57

-11.36%

91.00%

0.48

0.43

0.05

Fujian

3.83

3.85

-0.02

19.70%

36.80%

0

0

0

Total

94.22

94.51

-0.29

10.55%

22.90%

16.05

14.53

1.52




II. Goods Arrivals

According to the latest statistics by Cofeed, the estimate of import volume for February this week is 320,000 tonnes and flat from last week (RBD palm olein 200,000 tonnes and industrial palm oil 120,000 tonnes). And the estimate for March is 320,000 tonnes (RBD palm olein 200,000 and industrial palm oil 120,000 tonnes).

II.Margins and Shipments

Date

Sailing Schedule

CNF
USD/mT

Duty Paid
(RBM/mT)

DCE
(RBM/mT)

Import Margin

2020/2/10

Mar.2020

740

6213

5794

-419

2020/2/10

Apr.2020

735

6172

5794

-378

2020/2/11

Mar.2020

730

6120

5690

-430

2020/2/12

Mar.2020

702.5

5880

5592

-288

2020/2/12

Apr.2020

702.5

5880

5592

-288

2020/2/13

Mar.2020

702.5

5894

5578

-316

2020/2/13

Apr.2020

700

5874

5578

-296

2020/2/14

Mar.2020

685

5751

5508

-243

2020/2/14

Apr.2020

682.5

5730

5508

-222

2020/2/14

Jul.2020

670

5627

5436

-191

2020/2/14

Aug.2020

662.5

5565

5436

-129