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Cofeed:China Soybean Oil Supply and Demand Estimates (April, 2020)

2020-04-10 www.cofeed.com
China Soybean Oil Supply & Demand Estimates Yearly (crop year: Oct.-Sept, unit: 0’000 tonnes.)
Item/Year 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20
Est. Est. Est. Est. Mar Proj. Apr Proj. Mar Proj. Apr Proj.
Beginning Stocks 131 97 118 148 171 171 135 135
Domestic Production 1394 1476 1577 1614 1541 1541 1599 1614
Imports 74 53 58 48 80 80 55 60
Total Supply 1599 1626 1753 1810 1792 1792 1789 1809
 
Domestic Consumption 1492 1500 1594 1627 1638 1638 1599 1621
food consumption 1348 1356 1452 1477 1488 1488 1449 1471
Other Consumption 144 144 142 150 150 150 150 150
Yearly Exports 10 8 11 12 19 19 20 20
Total Use 1502 1508 1605 1639 1657 1657 1619 1641
 
Ending Stocks 97 118 148 171 135 135 170 168
Stock-to-use Ratio 6.46% 7.82% 9.22% 10.43% 8.50% 8.50% 10.50% 10.24%

 

 

China Soybean Oil Supply & Demand Estimates Monthly (unit: 0’000 tonnes)
Year Est. Beginning Stocks Domestic Production Imports Total Supply Domestic Consumption Of which Of which Exports Total Use Ending Stocks
Food Consumption Other Consumption
2020 Jan 92 110 5 207 121 109 12 1 122 85
Feb 85 117 6 208 72 59 13 1 73 135
Mar 135 122 2 259 137 124 13 2 139 120
Apr 120 125 3 248 130 118 12 2 132 116
May 116 151 5 272 135 123 12 2 137 135
Jun 135 151 3 289 128 116 12 2 130 159
Jul 159 144 4 307 141 128 13 2 143 164
Aug 164 148 3 315 156 143 13 2 158 157
Sept 157 141 7 305 135 122 13 2 137 168