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Soybean Oil Stocks and Amounts in Outstanding Contracts in China (Week 24, 2020)

2020-06-15 www.cofeed.com

According to Cofeed, in the week as of June 12, details of soybean oil inventories and outstanding contracts in main domestic regions are as follows:

Region

Soybean Oil Stocks

Outstanding Contracts

(0,000 tonnes)

Week 24

Week 23

Var.

Week 24

Week 23

Var.

Northeast China

9

8.75

0.25

12.3

13.8

-1.5

North China

14.1

13.7

0.4

58.95

50.9

8.05

Shandong

8.5

8.78

-0.28

17.95

19.5

-1.55

East China

27.1

26.9

0.2

51.74

51.56

0.18

Guangdong

7.7

7.83

-0.13

25.85

25.63

0.22

Guangxi

5.6

5.8

-0.2

16.35

16

0.35

Fujian

6.6

5.83

0.77

5.7

5.25

0.45

Henan

4.89

5.087

-0.197

0.645

0.443

0.202

Sichuan

1.96

2.07

-0.11

4

4.3

-0.3

Others

10.17

10.2

-0.03

2.81

2.7

0.11

Total

95.62

94.947

0.673

196.295

190.083

6.212

 

Soybean oil stocks continue a slight rise this week. In the week ending June 12, China’s soybean oil commercial inventory has totaled 956,200 tonnes, up 6,730 tonnes by 0.71% from 949,470 tonnes last week, up 103,200 tonnes by 12.1% from 853,000 tonnes last month, yet down 491,800 tonnes by 33.96% from 1,448,000 tonnes of the corresponding period last year. And the five-year average at the same period is 1,165,800 tonnes. 

 

Along with a rally in operation rates this week (June 6-12), soybean crush at domestic mills totals 2,052,000 tonnes (meal 1,621,080 tonnes and oil 389,880 tonnes), up 136,450 tonnes or 7.12% from 1,915,550 tonnes in the previous week. Meanwhile, operation rates (capacity utilization) are 59.10%, up 3.93% from 55.17% in the previous week. Soybean crush is predicted to continue the uptrend to a record high of 2.13 mln tonnes and 2.15 mln tonnes in the next two weeks, respectively. Hence, soybean oil stocks are expected to maintain the uptrend.

 

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Fig.: China’s Soybean Oil Stocks in Recent Years