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China’s Palm Oil Stocks and Arrivals Weekly (Week 24, 2020)

2020-06-16 www.cofeed.com

I. National stocks

 

Palm oil stocks in China continue declining due to less arrival at ports. In the week ending June 12, edible palm oil stock totals 352,100 tonnes at domestic ports, down 6.4% from 376,200 tonnes a week earlier; down 911,000 tonnes or 20.56% from 443,200 tonnes the same period last month; down 327,100 tonnes or 48.16% from 679,200 tonnes the corresponding period last year. Meanwhile, industrial palm oil stock at domestic ports totals 86,700 tonnes, a decline of 3,550 tonnes or 3.9% from 90,250 tonnes the previous week. Additionally, Chinese buyers still purchase few boatloads of palm oil in later period, leading to low inventory of palm oil.

 

Region
/Port

Edible Palm Oil Stocks0'000 tonne

Industrial Palm Oil Stocks

W24

W23

Change

M-O-M

Y-O-Y

W24

W23

Change

Tianjin Port

8.55

10

-1.45

27.61%

-43.93%

1.4

1.4

0

Hebei

0.4

0.6

-0.2

300.00%

-33.33%

0

0

0

Shandong Port

0.98

1.45

-0.47

-56.63%

-57.94%

0.67

0.925

-0.225

East China

10.6

11.4

-0.8

-29.57%

-61.03%

4.7

4.8

-0.1

Guangdong

12.71

11.99

0.72

-24.93%

-29.19%

1.77

1.74

0.03

Guangxi

1.67

1.38

0.29

30.47%

-31.56%

0.13

0.16

-0.03

Fujian

0.3

0.8

-0.50

-85.00%

-86.05%

0

0

0

Total

35.21

37.62

-2.41

-20.56%

-48.16%

8.67

9.025

-0.325

 

Fig.: China's palm oil stocks in recent years

 

II. Goods Arrivals

 

According to the latest statistics by Cofeed, palm oil imports in June forecast at 420,000 tonnes (RBD palm olein 300,000 tonnes and industrial palm oil 120,000 tonnes) and flat from last week; that for July is 420,000-440,000 tonnes (RBD palm olein 300,000-320,000 tonnes and industrial palm oil 120,000 tonnes), up 50,000 tonnes from the previous week.

 

III. Margins and Shipments

 

Sailing Schedule

CNF
USD/tonne

Duty Paid
(CNY/tonne)

DCE
(CNY/tonne)

Import Margin

Jul, 2020

620

5284

5030

-254

Aug, 2020

615

5242

5030

-212

Sep, 2020

615

5242

5030

-212

Jul, 2020

625

5322

5024

-298

Jul, 2020

620

5278

4984

-294

Jul, 2020

605

5162

4920

-242

Oct, 2020

590

5036

4872

-164

 

Date

Cargoes

Sailing Schedule

CNF
USD/tonne

Duty Paid
(CNY/tonne)

Qty.
0'000 tonne

6/8/2020

0

       

6/9/2020

0

       

6/10/2020

3

Jul

612

5217

3.6

6/11/2020

1

Jul

608

5167

1.2

6/12/2020

0