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China’s Soybean Crush Weekly (Week 26, 2020)

2020-06-29 www.cofeed.com

Oil mills have slightly lowered down operation rates this week (June 20-26), as some of them are facing swelling soybean meal inventories, especially those in east China. Soybean crush at domestic mills totals 2,031,000 tonnes (meal 1,604,490 tonnes and oil 385,890 tonnes), down 107,200 tonnes or 5.01% from 2,138,200 tonnes in the previous week. Meanwhile, operation rates (capacity utilization) are 58.50%, down 3.08% from 61.58% in the previous week. Soybean crush is predicted to be around 2.05 mln tonnes and 2.08 mln tonnes in the next two weeks, respectively. All oil mills are seeking to work at full capacity and to speed up deliveries, unless disrupted by swelling stockpiles.

 

Soybean crush nationwide is estimated at 8.79 mln tonnes in June at current utilization rate, above 8.6194 mln tonnes in the previous month and also above 7.3954 mln tonnes of the corresponding period last year.

 

As of this week, soybean crush nationwide totals 63,730,164 tonnes in the soybean crop year of 2019/20 (from October 1st, 2019), up 632,779 tonnes or 1% from 63,097,385 tonnes of the same period last year. In calendar year of 2020 (from Jan. 1st, 2020), national soybean crush amounts to 41,746,650 tonnes, up 1,800,665 tonnes or 4.5% from 39,945,985 tonnes of the corresponding period in 2019.

 

Fig.: Soybean Weekly Crush in China (2016-2020)

 

Details for weekly crush by region and by group are shown as follows:

Ranking

Region

Soybean Crush
(tonne)

Utilization Rate
(Capacity Utilization)

Week 26

Week 25

Var.

Week 26

Week 25

Var.

1

Shandong

404600

406200

-1600

68.85%

69.12%

-0.27%

2

Jiangsu

308900

438400

-129500

54.28%

77.03%

-22.76%

3

Guangdong

240700

241300

-600

62.86%

63.02%

-0.16%

4

Guangxi

220500

201500

19000

76.83%

70.21%

6.62%

5

Liaoning

180100

197100

-17000

56.73%

62.09%

-5.36%

6

Tianjin

141500

127500

14000

94.02%

84.72%

9.30%

7

Hebei

139500

125000

14500

80.68%

72.30%

8.39%

8

Fujian

99500

89600

9900

58.74%

52.89%

5.84%

9

Zhejiang

85400

82400

3000

78.21%

75.46%

2.75%

10

Henan

39600

33400

6200

34.08%

28.74%

5.34%

11

Shaanxi

30800

30800

0

100.00%

100.00%

0.00%

12

Hubei

28700

30700

-2000

53.95%

57.71%

-3.76%

13

Jilin

28000

28000

0

36.36%

36.36%

0.00%

14

Sichuan

24300

34300

-10000

28.93%

40.83%

-11.90%

15

Hunan

19600

19600

0

100.00%

100.00%

0.00%

16

Anhui

15300

18900

-3600

80.95%

100.00%

-19.05%

17

Jiangxi

10500

10500

0

88.24%

88.24%

0.00%

18

Chongqing

10000

14000

-4000

47.62%

66.67%

-19.05%

19

Inner Mongolia

3500

0

3500

29.41%

0.00%

29.41%

20

Heilongjiang

0

4000

-4000

0.00%

2.31%

-2.31%

21

Shanxi

0

0

0

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

22

Shanghai

0

5000

-5000

0.00%

28.57%

-28.57%

23

Xinjiang

0

0

0

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

 

Total

2031000

2138200

-107200

58.50%

61.58%

-3.09%