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China’s Soybean Crush Monthly (Jun, 2020)

2020-07-08 www.cofeed.com

Soybean crush in June in China

 

According to final detailed investigation and verification by Cofeed, soybean crush in oil mills in June totaled 8,733,150 tonnes (meal 6,899,189 tonnes and oil 1,659,299 tonnes), up 113,750 tonnes by 1.32% from 8,619,400 tonnes in May, and up by 18.09% from 7,395,400 tonnes in the corresponding period last year.

 

Soybean crush nationwide totaled 58,087,250 tonnes in the crushing year of 2019/2020 (from Oct. 1st, 2019), up 1,784,900 tonnes by 3.17% from 56,302,350 tonnes in 2018/2019. In calendar year of 2020 (from Jan. 1st, 2020), national soybean crush totaled 36,168,550 tonnes, up 3,123,700 tonnes by 9.45% from 33,044,850 tonnes in 2019.

 

Soybean Crush in June in China by Region (tonne)

Ranking

Region

1st-5th

6th-12th

13th-19th

20th-26th

27th-30th

Total

1

Shandong

254500

389500

406200

403200

233400

1686800

2

Jiangsu

299500

401200

435400

308900

195300

1640300

3

Guangdong

134700

230000

241300

240700

133600

980300

4

Guangxi

107500

170500

201500

216500

106000

802000

5

Liaoning

99500

182100

197100

180100

86200

745000

6

Tianjin

95000

130500

127500

141500

70000

564500

7

Hebei

96500

123500

125000

139500

74000

558500

8

Fujian

63100

98000

89600

99500

61000

411200

9

Zhejiang

59000

64400

82400

85400

48800

340000

10

Sichuan

44500

62300

32800

24300

19600

183500

11

Hubei

22750

29100

30700

28700

22400

133650

12

Shaanxi

22000

30800

30800

30800

17600

132000

13

Jilin

20000

28000

28000

28000

16000

120000

14

Henan

5000

19000

33400

39600

19200

116200

15

Hunan

14000

19600

19600

19600

11200

84000

16

Anhui

13500

18900

18900

15300

0

66600

17

Chongqing

7500

14000

14000

10000

8000

53500

18

Jiangxi

7500

10500

10500

10500

6000

45000

19

Shanghai

14500

17500

5000

0

0

37000

20

Heilongjiang

9000

12600

4000

0

0

25600

21

Inner Mongolia

0

0

0

3500

4000

7500

22

Xinjiang

0

0

0

0

0

0

23

Shanxi

0

0

0

0

0

0

 

Total

1389550

2052000

2133700

2025600

1132300

8733150

Remarks: Above is the final data after verification.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Soybean imports in China

 

China’s Customs: Soybean Imports in China by Month (0’000 tonnes)

M/Y

2019

2020

Jan

737.70

783.77

Feb

446.00

567.56

Mar

492.00

427.78

Apr

764.00

671.45

May

736.00

937.69

Jun

651.32

1029.80

Jul

864.03

1032.10

Aug

948.07

940.00

Sept

819.66

810.00

Oct

618.14

730.00

Nov

827.76

740.00

Dec

954.24

 

Total

8858.92

8670.15

Remarks: Imports from June to November in 2020 were surveyed and estimated by Cofeed

 

China imported 9,376,900 tonnes of soybeans in May, up by 2,662,400 tonnes or 39.65% from 6,714,500 tonnes last month and up by 2,035,100 tonnes or 27.72% from 7,341,800 tonnes the same period last year, according to China’s customs. And China’s soybean imports totaled 33,882,700 tonnes from January to May, increased by 2,152,500 tonnes or 6.78% from 31,730,200 tonnes in the previous year.

 

In light of supplier, Brazil was still the top supplier. China brought in 8,862,100 tonnes of soybeans from Brazil in May, an increase of 2,923,100 tonnes or 49.22% from 5,939,000 tonne a month earlier and an advance of 2,508,900 tonnes or 39.49% from 6,353,200 tonne in May last year. From January to May, China imported Brazilian soybeans totaling 22,039,600 tonnes, up by 189,800 tonnes or 0.87% from 21,849,800 tonnes of the corresponding period last year.

 

Besides, China imported 491,700 tonnes of soybeans from U.S., a decline of 173,900 tonnes or 26.13% from 665,600 tonnes last month and a fall of 414,400 tonnes or 45.73% from 906,100 tonnes last year. From January to May, China imported U.S. soybeans totaling 8,970,300, up by 3,755,000 tonnes or 72.00% compared with 5,215,300 tonnes a year earlier.

 

According to Cofeed, there were 157 cargoes of actual arrival totaling 10,298,000 tonnes of imported soybeans at ports in June. China is expected to receive 157.5 cargoes totaling 10,321,000 mln tonnes in July. Likewise, soybean arrivals forecast preliminarily at 9.40 mln tonnes in August, up by 0.2 mln tonnes than the previous week. Furthermore, the arrivals of soybean are first estimated to be 8.10 mln tonnes in September, 7.30 mln tonnes in October, 7.40 mln tonnes in November and 8.00 mln tonnes in December. Based on above estimate, China’s soybean imports are projected to be 96,213,800 tonnes in 2019/2020 (October-September, 2019/20), an increase of 13,418,900 tonnes or 16.21% from 82,794,900 tonnes that surveyed last year. Statistics will be updated every week on account of variable and unstable buying.

 

Monthly carryover stocks at ports in China

 

Soybean stocks continued recovering in June amid huge imports of soybeans. By the end of June, domestic imported soybean stocks totaled 7,213,500 tonnes, up by 1,213,100 tonnes or 20.21% from 6,000,400 tonnes in May and up by 38.29% from 5,216,000 tonnes of the same period last year. It is expected that soybean stocks will gradually climb up as a result of huge amount of arrivals in later period.

 

Soybean Crush Margins

 

Soybean Crush Margins in China (CNY/tonne)

Date

U.S. soybean

Brz. soybean

Arg. soybean

Distributed

Domestic

Jun. 1

66

65

104

-483

-1058

Jun. 2

72

69

109

-463

-1258

Jun. 3

76

52

110

-432

-1243

Jun. 4

57

47

83

-423

-1246

Jun. 5

63

54

87

-390

-1216

Jun. 8

47

28

35

-429

-1232

Jun. 9

40

23

27

-467

-1234

Jun. 10

42

24

28

-470

-1245

Jun. 11

33

-29

1

-475

-1250

Jun. 12

10

-47

-18

-485

-1232

Jun. 15

-22

-71

-36

-491

-1240

Jun. 16

-6

-70

-71

-491

-1234

Jun. 17

-52

-82

-96

-506

-1250

Jun. 18

-79

-117

-116

-497

-1238

Jun. 19

-62

-99

-98

-475

-1214

Jun. 22

-71

-71

-79

-482

-1210

Jun. 23

-36

-22

-75

-474

-1210

Jun. 24

-28

-22

-62

-484

-1219

Jun. 29

-83

-49

-80

-516

-1261

Jun. 30

-78

-35

-70

-504

-1248