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China’s Palm Oil Stocks and Arrivals Weekly (Week 30, 2020)

2020-07-28 www.cofeed.com

I. National stocks

 

In the week ending July 24, edible palm oil stock totals 340,300 tonnes at domestic ports, down by 6.3% from 363,200 tonnes a week earlier; down by 69,800 tonnes or 17.02% from 410,100 tonnes the same period last month; down by 294,400 tonnes or 6.38% from 634,700 tonnes the corresponding period last year. Meanwhile, industrial palm oil stock at domestic ports totals 126,100 tonnes, a rise of 6,600 tonnes or 5.5% from 119,500 tonnes in the previous week.

 

This week, palm oil stocks slide, for less arrival of palm oil cargoes. And palm oil trading in market goes better than last week, totaling 36,100 tonnes, an increase of 7,440 tonnes or 25.96% from 28,660 last week. There are nearly 450,000 tonnes of RBD palm olein arriving at ports in July. But the demand for palm oil is also limited as its price spread with soybean oil has narrowed. Accordingly, palm oil stock is projected to pick up in later period.

 

Region
/Port

Edible Palm Oil Stocks0'000 tonne

Industrial Palm Oil Stocks

W30

W29

Change

M-O-M

Y-O-Y

W30

W29

Change

Tianjin Port

5.77

7.57

-1.8

-28.76%

-32.12%

2.8

2.7

0.1

Hebei

0.17

0.15

0.02

-29.17%

-77.33%

0

0

0

Shandong Port

2.8

3.1

-0.3

-29.11%

-6.67%

1.16

0.99

0.17

East China

10.95

12.1

-1.15

-26.75%

-52.08%

7

6.25

0.75

Guangdong

9.98

9.9

0.08

-14.56%

-52.02%

1.25

1.61

-0.36

Guangxi

3.48

2.97

0.51

145.07%

4.82%

0.4

0.4

0

Fujian

0.88

0.53

0.35

31.34%

-79.29%

0

0

0

Total

34.03

36.32

-2.29

-17.02%

-46.38%

12.61

11.95

0.66

 

 

II. Goods Arrivals

 

According to the latest statistics by Cofeed, palm oil imports are estimated to be 570,000 tonnes in July (RBD palm olein 450,000 tonnes and industrial palm oil 120,000 tonnes), 540,000 tonnes in August (RBD palm olein 420,000 tonnes and industrial palm oil 120,000 tonnes) and 570,000 tonnes in September (RBD palm olein 450,000 tonnes and industrial palm oil 120,000 tonnes). All these data are flat from last week.

 

III. Margins and Shipments

 

Date

Sailing Schedule

CNF
USD/tonne

Duty Paid
(CNY/tonne)

DCE
(CNY/tonne)

Import Margin

7/20/2020

Sep, 2020

677.5

5698

5542

-156

7/20/2020

Oct, 2020

660

5553

5396

-157

7/20/2020

Nov, 2020

658

5536

5396

-140

7/20/2020

Dec, 2020

656

5520

5396

-124

7/21/2020

Oct, 2020

660

5553

5362

-191

7/21/2020

Nov, 2020

652

5487

5362

-125

7/21/2020

Dec, 2020

647

5445

5362

-83

7/22/2020

Oct, 2020

675

5660

5358

-302

7/22/2020

Nov, 2020

668

5603

5358

-245

7/22/2020

Dec, 2020

660

5536

5358

-178

7/23/2020

Sep, 2020

685

5770

5684

-86

7/24/2020

Sep, 2020

697.5

5885

5702

-183

 

Date

Cargoes

Sailing Schedule

CNF
USD/tonne

Duty Paid
(CNY/tonne)

Qty.
0'000 tonne

7/20/2020

4

Sep, 2020

664

5586

3.6

Oct, 2020

653

5495

1.2

7/21/2020

0

       

7/22/2020

0

       

7/23/2020

0

       

7/24/2020

1

Aug, 2020

685

5781

1.2