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China’s Soybean Crush Monthly (July, 2020)

2020-08-10 www.cofeed.com

Soybean crush in July in China

According to final detailed investigation and verification by Cofeed, soybean crush in oil mills in July totaled 8,941,500 tonnes (meal 7,063,785 tonnes and oil 1,698,885 tonnes), up 208,350 tonnes by 2.39% from 8,733,150 tonnes in May, and up by 33.29% from 6,708,300 tonnes in the corresponding period last year.

 

Soybean crush nationwide totaled 73,762,150 tonnes in the crushing year of 2019/2020 (from Oct. 1st, 2019), up 3,808,650 tonnes by 5.44% from 69,953,500 tonnes in 2018/2019. In the calendar year of 2020 (from Jan. 1st, 2020), national soybean crush totaled 51,839,650 tonnes, up 4,943,650 tonnes by 10.54% from 46,896,000 tonnes in 2019.

 

Soybean Crush in July in China by Region (tonne)

Ranking

Region

1st-3rd

4th-10th

11th-17th

18th-24th

25th-31st

Total

1

Jiangsu

198200

401200

412400

351400

408600

1771800

2

Shandong

167700

389200

367900

348900

346900

1620600

3

Guangdong

120700

224700

236900

208400

237700

1028400

4

Liaoning

72900

169100

181600

178100

197100

798800

5

Guangxi

86000

139000

154000

156000

220500

755500

6

Hebei

55500

129500

137500

157500

126500

606500

7

Tianjin

53000

133000

148000

141500

112500

588000

8

Fujian

46000

77000

82100

96500

88000

389600

9

Zhejiang

33000

72000

56700

85400

75400

322500

10

Sichuan

41700

83300

53300

50300

59300

287900

11

Hubei

18300

49700

35000

38600

45700

187300

12

Henan

5400

28600

33600

27600

34600

129800

13

Shaanxi

13200

10400

22400

22400

22400

90800

14

Jilin

4000

12000

28000

28000

16000

88000

15

Hunan

3000

16000

19600

19600

17800

76000

16

Chongqing

2000

17500

17500

17500

7500

62000

17

Anhui

2400

9900

16500

10500

13500

52800

18

Jiangxi

4500

10500

10500

10500

10500

46500

19

Shanghai

0

0

0

5000

12500

17500

20

Heilongjiang

0

0

4000

5600

5600

15200

21

Inner Mongolia

3000

0

0

0

3000

6000

22

Xinjiang

0

0

0

0

0

0

23

Shanxi

0

0

0

0

0

0

 

Total

1389550

2052000

2133700

2025600

1132300

8733150

Remarks: Above is the final data after verification.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Soybean imports in China

 

China’s Customs: Soybean Imports in China by Month (0’000 tonnes)

M/Y

2019

2020

Jan

737.70

783.77

Feb

446.00

567.56

Mar

492.00

427.78

Apr

764.00

671.45

May

736.00

937.71

Jun

651.32

1116.02

Jul

864.03

962.50

Aug

948.07

1035.80

Sept

819.66

880.00

Oct

618.14

810.00

Nov

827.76

750.00

Dec

954.24

780.00

Total

8858.92

9722.59

Remarks: Imports from July to November in 2020 were surveyed and estimated by Cofeed

 

China imported 11,160,200 tonnes of soybeans in June, up by 1,783,100 tonnes or 19.02% from 9,377,100 tonnes a month earlier and up by 4,698,100 tonnes or 72.70% from 6,462,100 tonnes the same period last year, according to China’s customs. And China’s soybean imports totaled 45,043,300 tonnes from January to June, an increase of 6,851,000 tonnes or 17.94% versus 38,192,300 tonnes in the previous year.

 

In light of supplier, Brazil was still the top supplier. China brought in 10,512,000 tonnes of soybeans from Brazil in June, an increase of 1,649,400 tonnes 18.61% from 5,939,000 tonne a month earlier and an advance of 5,064,800 tonnes or 92.98% from 5,447,200 tonne in June last year. From January to June, China imported Brazilian soybeans totaling 32,552,300 tonnes, up by 5,255,300 tonnes or 19.25% from 27,297,000 tonnes of the corresponding period last year.

 

Besides, China imported 267,600 tonnes of soybeans from U.S. in June, a decline of 223,900 tonnes or 45.55% from 491,500 tonnes last month and a fall of 347,200 tonnes or 56.47% from 614,800 tonnes last year. From January to June, China’s soybean imports from U.S. amounted to 9,237,500 tonnes, up by 3,407,400 tonnes or 58.44% compared with 5,830,100 tonnes a year earlier.

 

According to the survey by Cofeed, there were 147 cargoes of actual arrival totaling 9,625,000 tonnes of imported soybeans at ports in July. China is expected to receive 158 cargoes totaling 10,358,000 mln tonnes in August. Likewise, the arrivals of soybean are first estimated to be 8.80 mln tonnes in September, 8.10 mln tonnes in October, 7.50 mln tonnes in November and 7.80 mln tonnes in December. Based on above estimate, China’s soybean imports are projected to be 96,944,800 tonnes in 2019/2020 (October-September, 2019/20), an increase of 14,149,900 tonnes or 17.09% from 82,794,900 tonnes that surveyed last year. Statistics will be updated every week on account of variable and unstable buying.

 

Monthly carryover stocks at ports in China

 

Soybean stocks continued recovering in July amid huge imports of soybeans. By the end of July, imported soybean stocks in China totaled 7,394,900 tonnes, up by 181,400 tonnes or 2.51% from 7,213,500 tonnes in June and up by 12.47% from 6,574,500 tonnes of the same period last year. It is expected that soybean stocks will gradually climb up as a result of huge amount of arrivals in later period.

 

Soybean Crush Margins

 

Soybean Crush Margins in China (CNY/tonne)

Date

U.S. soybean

Brz. soybean

Arg. soybean

Distributed

Domestic

Jul. 1

-45

-19

-53

-439

-1200

Jul. 2

-21

14

-39

-385

-1155

Jul. 3

-18

17

-51

-383

-1157

Jul. 6

44

90

9

-329

-1106

Jul. 7

36

82

-3

-334

-1118

Jul. 8

40

77

-4

-334

-1136

Jul. 9

56

92

5

-342

-1141

Jul. 10

32

65

-20

-352

-1142

Jul. 13

55

93

-1

-389

-1141

Jul. 14

94

127

43

-387

-1142

Jul. 15

128

163

62

-361

-1118

Jul. 16

140

170

78

-332

-1096

Jul. 17

147

180

104

-282

-1066

Jul. 20

204

241

167

-219

-1032

Jul. 21

194

217

158

-215

-1011

Jul. 22

212

256

200

-202

-1008

Jul. 23

220

255

200

-180

-994

Jul. 24

226

261

206

-157

-968

Jul. 27

273

302

253

-111

-917

Jul. 28

223

230

204

-167

-1000

Jul. 29

222

205

180

-179

-1003

Jul. 30

245

228

188

-170

-1021

Jul. 31

234

216

177

-164

-1005