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Cofeed: China Soybean Supply and Demand Estimates (Aug, 2020)

2020-08-13 www.cofeed.com
China Soybean Supply and Demand Estimates (Oct-Sept)
Item/Year 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21
(0,000 tonnes) Est. Est. Est. Jul. Proj. Aug. Proj. Jul. Proj. Aug. Proj.
Beginning Stocks 1294 1384 1559 1289 1289 1886 1773
Domestic Production 1265 1485 1590 1600 1600 1700 1700
Imports 9220 9411 8280 9697 9704 9750 9800
Total Supply 11779 12280 11429 12586 12593 13336 13273
 
Crush: of which 8800 8986 8500 8950 9070 9250 9250
Domestic Soybeans 137 200 210 210 210 250 250
Imported Soybeans 8663 8786 8290 8740 8860 9000 9000
Exports 15 15 15 15 15 15 15
Seeds 60 70 75 85 85 85 85
Food & Industrial Consumption 1520 1650 1550 1650 1650 1750 1750
Total Use 10395 10721 10140 10700 10820 11100 11100
 
Ending Stocks 1384 1559 1289 1886 1773 2236 2173
Stock-to-use Ratio 0.1331 0.1454 0.1271 0.1763 0.1639 0.2014 0.1958