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Daily Review on Grain Market in China--9/3/2020

2020-09-03 www.cofeed.com

Today (Sep 3), the market for grains in China is shown as follows:

 

Corn:

 

Corn prices in China mainly stay stable with partial declines today. And the average price is 2,230 CNY/tonne nationwide, down by 1 CNY/tonne from yesterday. The price among deep-processing enterprises in Shandong prevails at 2,310-2,400 CNY/tonne, partly down by 6-34 CNY/tonne from yesterday. At Jinzhou port, Liaoning, both buying and selling are light. And the new corn with volume weight of 690-700 g/L (choicest and packed in cases) is priced at 2,215-2,220 CNY/tonne. At Bayuquan port, Liaoning, the old corn with volume weight of 690 g/L is priced at 2,160 CNY/tonne. At Guangdong port, Grade-II old corn is offered at 2,300 CNY/tonne with a decline of 20 CNY/tonne from yesterday.

 

China increases the purchase of imported corn. It is said that China has granted the import quota for 10 mln tonnes of corn to a state-owned enterprise in addition to tariff quota. And China has brought in 7.70 mln tonnes of U.S. corn in the year of 2020/21. China’s continuous buying could be seen in the USDA report despite no official confirmation. Furthermore, private exporters reported a sale of 596,000 tonnes of corn to China, according to USDA on Monday. Meanwhile, imported corn has been arriving at ports successively in recent days, and the early-ripening new corn has entered market in North China. Hence, it will likely increase corn supply after September. But market buyers are not active in purchasing. With the pressure in fundamentals emerging, corn market is still likely to go down from high levels. Corn price further drops by 10-30 CNY/tonne today. Buyers can keep eyes on the pace of ex-warehouse of corn in Northern area.

 

Sorghum:

 

Domestic sorghum prices are stable today, of which dried sorghum prices prevail at around 2,900-3,000 CNY/tonne. Domestic sorghum supplies are reducing and margins are growing, so that farmers and traders both tend to prop up prices. However, imported sorghum of lower cost will be arriving at domestic ports. Moreover, it becomes more difficult to stock up sorghum under warmer weather conditions, coupled with limited demand from distilleries, so that domestic sorghum market is weighed down. Overall, domestic sorghum prices are predicted to stay stale with a strengthening trend.

 

Imported sorghum prices are stable with a partial decline in China today, and the average price is at 2,258 CNY/tonne. Market participants are concerned that escalating U.S.-China tensions could affect future imports of sorghum. Moreover, the cost of importing sorghum is also strengthening due to the coronavirus pandemic. However, imported sorghum stocks at Guangdong ports still total 306,000 tonnes as of Aug 28. And an expected rise in sorghum arrivals will probably weigh down US sorghum prices in China. Participants can focus on the development of US-China relations.

 

Barley:

 

Imported barley prices are stable with a partial decline today with the average at 1,984 CNY/tonne. As of Aug 28th, imported barley stocks totaled 253,000 tonnes at Guangdong ports. There will be vessels arriving gradually in coming months, while downstream buyers have weak demand now, which will be negative to the market. In addition, barley shipments from Argentina, Canada and France have been flowing toward China as a conflict between China and Australia reshapes global trade pattern. On September 1, China’s General Administration of Customs said barley shipments from Australia’s largest grain exporter would be halted after pests were found on multiple occasions, which will further disrupt barley trade between these two nations. Overall, imported barley prices are predicted to stay stable with a weakening trend in China.

 

(USD $1=CNY ¥6.83)