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China’s Palm Oil Stocks and Arrivals Weekly (Week 36, 2020)

2020-09-08 www.cofeed.com

I. National stocks

 

Due to less arrival of palm oil cargoes this week, the price spread between palm oil and soybean oil in China continues widening. As of this Friday (Sept 4), the price spread sets at 640 CNY/tonne, extending by 12 CNY/tonne from 628 CNY/tonne last Friday. Besides, as palm oil futures further go up at home and broad, some buyers still purchase upon the low price. Accordingly, palm oil trading at low levels turns better this week, totaling 59,070 tonnes (34,900 tonnes for spot contract and 9,000 tonnes for forward contract), an increase of 15,170 tonnes or 34.6% versus 43,900 tonnes last week. As a result, palm oil inventory this week falls again.

 

In the week ending September 4, edible palm oil stock totals 327,300 tonnes at nationwide ports, down by 7.90% from 355,400 tonnes a week earlier; down by 26,300 tonnes or 7.40% from 356,300 tonnes in the previous month; down by 251,700 tonnes or 43.47% from 578,950 tonnes the corresponding period last year. Meanwhile, industrial palm oil stock at domestic ports amounts to 139,500 tonnes, a drop of 15,900 tonnes or 10.23% from 155,400 tonnes in the previous week.

 

Region
/Port

Edible Palm Oil Stocks0'000 tonne

Industrial Palm Oil Stocks

W36

W35

Change

M-O-M

Y-O-Y

W36

W35

Change

Tianjin Port

5.4

7.45

-2.05

-30.05%

-48.32%

3

3

0

Hebei

0.2

0.2

0

-67.74%

-33.33%

0

0

0

Shandong Port

1.05

1.57

-0.52

-64.16%

-65.35%

1.1

1.34

-0.24

East China

11.1

11.45

-0.35

-3.73%

-38.33%

7.8

9.2

-1.4

Guangdong

10.97

10.94

0.03

31.38%

-47.76%

1.405

1.4

0.005

Guangxi

2.71

2.13

0.58

56.65%

73.17%

0.64

0.6

0.04

Fujian

1.3

1.8

-0.5

-47.58%

-63.38%

0

0

0

Total

32.73

35.54

-2.81

-7.40%

-43.47%

13.945

15.54

-1.595

 

 

II. Goods Arrivals

 

According to the latest statistics by Cofeed, China is projected to bring in 620,000 tonnes of palm oil (RBD palm olein 500,000 tonnes and industrial palm oil 120,000 tonnes) in September, up by 20,000 tonnes from a week earlier; 620,000 tonnes in October (RBD palm olein 500,000 tonnes and industrial palm oil 120,000 tonnes), up by 50,000 tonnes from last week. And palm oil imports in November are expected to be 570,000 tonnes (RBD palm olein 450,000 tonnes and industrial palm oil 120,000 tonnes).

 

III. Margins and Shipments

 

Date

Sailing Schedule

CNF
USD/tonne

Duty Paid
(CNY/tonne)

DCE
(CNY/tonne)

Import Margin

8/31/2020

Oct, 2020

735

6051

5856

-195

8/31/2020

Nov, 2020

720

5929

5856

-73

8/31/2020

Dec, 2020

715

5889

5856

-33

9/1/2020

Oct, 2020

737.5

6044

5884

-160

9/1/2020

Nov, 2020

722.5

5923

5884

-39

9/1/2020

Dec, 2020

717.5

5883

5884

1

9/2/2020

Oct, 2020

740

6072

5914

-158

9/2/2020

Nov, 2020

725

5951

5914

-37

9/2/2020

Dec, 2020

720

5910

5914

4

9/3/2020

Nov, 2020

740

6082

5946

-136

9/3/2020

Jan, 2021

730

6001

5946

-55

9/3/2020

Feb, 2021

725

5960

5832

-128

9/4/2020

Nov, 2020

745

6124

5860

-264

9/4/2020

Dec, 2020

740

6084

5860

-224

9/4/2020

Jan-Mar, 2020

725

5962

5770

-192

 

Date

Cargoes

Sailing Schedule

CNF
USD/tonne

Duty Paid
(CNY/tonne)

Qty.
0'000 tonne

9/1/2020

3

Oct

738

6071

2.4

Nov

720

5924

1.2

9/2/2020

5

Nov

722.5

5931

1.2

Dec

730

5992

1.2

Nov

730

5992

1.2

Dec

725

5951

1.2

Nov

722.5

5931

1.2

9/3/2020

2

Nov

735

6033

1.2

Mar

715

5871

1.2