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Cofeed: China Soybean Supply and Demand Estimates (Sept, 2020)

2020-09-14 www.cofeed.com
 
Item/Year 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21
(0,000 tonnes) Est. Est. Est. Aug. Proj. Sept. Proj. Aug. Proj. Sept. Proj.
Beginning Stocks 1294 1384 1559 1289 1289 1773 1697
Domestic Production 1265 1485 1590 1600 1600 1700 1700
Imports 9220 9411 8280 9704 9678 9800 9900
Total Supply 11779 12280 11429 12593 12567 13273 13297
 
Crush: of which 8800 8986 8500 9070 9100 9250 9300
Domestic Soybeans 137 200 210 210 210 250 250
Imported Soybeans 8663 8786 8290 8860 8890 9000 9050
Exports 15 15 15 15 15 15 15
Seeds 60 70 75 85 85 85 85
Food & Industrial Consumption 1520 1650 1550 1650 1670 1750 1750
Total Use 10395 10721 10140 10820 10870 11100 11150
 
Ending Stocks 1384 1559 1289 1773 1697 2173 2147
Stock-to-use Ratio 0.1331 0.1454 0.1271 0.1639 0.1561 0.1958 0.1926