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China’s Palm Oil Stocks and Arrivals Weekly (Week 39, 2020)

2020-09-29 www.cofeed.com

I. National stocks

 

Less arrival of palm oil cargoes, coupled with better deliveries of palm oil, lead its inventory in China to further decline this week. In the week ending September 25, edible palm oil stock totals 301,100 tonnes at nationwide ports, down by 7.03% from 323,800 tonnes a week earlier; down by 54,300 tonnes or 15.28% from 355,400 tonnes in the previous month; down by 248,400 tonnes or 45.2% from 549,500 tonnes in the corresponding period last year. Meanwhile, industrial palm oil stock at domestic ports amounts to 105,700 tonnes, a drop of 6,400 tonnes or 5.7% from 112,100 tonnes in the previous week.

 

Region
/Port

Edible Palm Oil Stocks0'000 tonne

Industrial Palm Oil Stocks

W39

W38

Change

M-O-M

Y-O-Y

W39

W38

Change

Tianjin Port

6.35

6

0.35

-14.77

-38.35

2.7

3

-0.3

Hebei

0.8

1

-0.2

300

100

0.1

0.1

0

Shandong Port

2.35

2.8

-0.45

49.68

-47.19

1.39

0.69

0.7

East China

7.05

8.45

-1.4

-38.43

-49.93

4.1

5.3

-1.2

Guangdong

9.51

9.83

-0.32

-13.07

-52.21

1.73

1.56

0.17

Guangxi

1.95

1.45

0.5

-8.45

-40.37

0.55

0.56

-0.01

Fujian

2.1

2.85

-0.75

16.67

-17.65

0

0

0

Total

30.11

32.38

-2.27

-15.28

-45.2

10.57

11.21

-0.64

 

 

II. Goods Arrivals

 

According to the latest statistics by Cofeed, China is projected to bring in 620,000 tonnes of palm oil (RBD palm olein 500,000 tonnes and industrial palm oil 120,000 tonnes) in September, flat from a week earlier; 620,000 tonnes in October (RBD palm olein 500,000 tonnes and industrial palm oil 120,000 tonnes), unchanged with last week. And palm oil imports in November are expected to be 620,000 tonnes (RBD palm olein 500,000 tonnes and industrial palm oil 120,000 tonnes), unchanged from last week.

 

III. Margins and Shipments

 

Date

Sailing Schedule

CNF
USD/tonne

Duty Paid
(CNY/tonne)

DCE
(CNY/tonne)

Import Margin

9/21/2020

Dec, 2020

812.5

6591

6480

-111

Jan, 2021

797.5

6471

6480

9

Feb, 2021

790

6411

6270

-141

Mar, 2021

782.5

6351

6270

-81

Apr, 2021

772.5

6271

6270

-1

May, 2021

765.5

6215

6270

55

9/22/2020

Dec, 2020

792.5

6456

6178

-278

Jan, 2021

770

6275

6178

-97

Feb, 2021

762.5

6215

5986

-229

Mar, 2021

755

6154

5986

-168

Apr, 2021

745

6074

5986

-88

May, 2021

738

6018

5986

-32

Jun, 2021

740

6034

5920

-114

9/23/2020

Nov, 2021

770

6284

6026

-258

Dec, 2020

760

6203

6026

-177

Jan, 2021

747.5

6103

6026

-77

Feb, 2021

742.5

6062

5854

-208

Mar, 2021

737.5

6022

5854

-168

Apr, 2021

730

5962

5854

-108

May, 2021

722.5

5901

5854

-47

Jun, 2021

717.5

5861

5788

-73

9/24/2020

Nov, 2021

760

6227

5888

-339

Dec, 2020

750

6146

5888

-258

Jan, 2021

722

5920

5888

-32

Feb, 2021

715

5863

5716

-147

Mar, 2021

711

5831

5716

-115

Apr, 2021

705

5782

5716

-66

May, 2021

700

5742

5716

-26

Jun, 2021

695

5701

5698

-3

9/25/2020

Nov, 2021

750

6143

5890

-253

Dec, 2020

735

6022

5890

-132

Jan, 2021

715

5860

5890

30

Feb, 2021

710

5820

5720

-100

Mar, 2021

705

5779

5720

-59

Apr, 2021

700

5739

5720

-19

May, 2021

695

5698

5720

22

Jun, 2021

690

5658

5656

-2

 

Date

Cargoes

Sailing Schedule

CNF
USD/tonne

Duty Paid
(CNY/tonne)

Qty.
0'000 tonne

9/22/2020

1

Nov, 2020

762

6219

1.2

9/22/2020

1

Dec, 2020

725

5921

1.2

9/25/2020

1

Jan, 2021

710

5814

1.2

9/25/2020

1

Jan, 2021

710

5814

1.2