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China’s Palm Oil Stocks and Arrivals Weekly (Week 42, 2020)

2020-10-20 www.cofeed.com

I. National stocks

 

Palm oil inventory in China goes sharply higher this week as palm oil vessels arrive at ports intensively. In the week ending October 16th, edible palm oil stock totals 422,400 tonnes at nationwide ports, up by 21.4% from 348,000 tonnes a week earlier; up 98,600 tonnes or 30.45% from 323,800 tonnes in the previous month; down 149,700 tonnes or 26.17% from 572,100 tonnes in the corresponding period last year. Meanwhile, industrial palm oil stock at domestic ports amounts to 111,200 tonnes, an increase of 22,100 tonnes or 24.8% from 89,100 tonnes last week.

 

Region
/Port

Edible Palm Oil Stocks0'000 tonne

Industrial Palm Oil Stocks

W42

W41

Change

M-O-M

Y-O-Y

W42

W41

Change

Tianjin Port

9.78

7.15

2.63

63.00%

-11.49%

2.8

2.3

0.5

Hebei

0.5

0.6

-0.1

-50.00%

-23.08%

0

0

0

Shandong Port

3.95

1.45

2.5

41.07%

-4.36%

2.07

1.32

0.75

East China

9.35

9.3

0.05

10.65%

-43.67%

3.9

3.05

0.85

Guangdong

13.76

11.59

2.17

39.98%

-18.58%

1.85

1.69

0.16

Guangxi

1.9

2.41

-0.51

31.03%

-52.26%

0.5

0.55

-0.05

Fujian

3

2.3

0.70

5.26%

-23.08%

0

0

0

Total

42.24

34.8

7.44

30.45%

-26.17%

11.12

8.91

2.21

II. Goods Arrivals

 

China is projected to bring in 670,000 tonnes of palm oil (RBD palm olein 550,000 tonnes and industrial palm oil 120,000 tonnes) in October with a rise of 50,000 tonnes from last week, according to the latest statistics by Cofeed. And palm oil imports in November are expected to be 720,000 tonnes (RBD palm olein 600,000 tonnes and industrial palm oil 120,000 tonnes), up by 100,000 tonnes from the estimate on September 25th.

 

III. Margins and Shipments

 

Date

Sailing Schedule

CNF
USD/tonne

Duty Paid
(CNY/tonne)

DCE
(CNY/tonne)

Import Margin

10/12/2020

Dec, 2020

800

6453

6256

-197

Jan, 2021

772.5

6234

6256

22

Feb, 2021

762.5

6154

6006

-148

Mar, 2021

757.5

6114

6006

-108

Apr, 2021

745

6015

6006

-9

May, 2021

737.5

5955

6006

51

Jun, 2021

727.5

5875

5888

13

10/13/2020

Nov, 2020

795

6438

6228

-210

Dec, 2020

790

6398

6228

-170

Jan, 2021

760

6159

6228

69

Feb, 2021

750

6079

5956

-123

Mar, 2021

743

6023

5956

-67

Apr, 2021

733

5943

5956

13

May, 2021

723

5863

5956

93

Jun, 2021

715

5799

5818

19

10/14/2020

Dec, 2020

790

6393

6276

-117

Jan, 2021

770

6233

6276

43

Feb, 2021

760

6153

5978

-175

Mar, 2021

750

6073

5978

-95

Apr, 2021

740

5994

5978

-16

May, 2021

730

5914

5978

64

Jun, 2021

722.5

5854

5804

-50

10/15/2020

Dec, 2020

790

6376

6140

-236

Jan, 2021

770

6216

6140

-76

Feb, 2021

755

6097

5876

-221

Mar, 2021

747.5

6037

5876

-161

Apr, 2021

735

5937

5876

-61

May, 2021

730

5898

5876

-22

Jun, 2021

717.5

5798

5700

-98

10/16/2020

Nov, 2020

790

6375

6052

-323

Dec, 2020

780

6295

6052

-243

Jan, 2021

745

6016

6052

36

Feb, 2021

737.5

5956

5770

-186

Mar, 2021

727.5

5877

5770

-107

Apr, 2021

717.5

5797

5770

-27

Jun, 2021

702.5

5677

5586

-91