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China’s Palm Oil Stocks and Arrivals Weekly (Week 43, 2020)

2020-10-27 www.cofeed.com

I. National stocks

 

Palm oil stocks in China decline again due to less arrival of palm oil vessels and good deliveries. In the week ending October 23rd, edible palm oil stock totals 386,500 tonnes at nationwide ports, down by 8.5% from 422,400 tonnes a week earlier; up 85,400 tonnes or 28.36% from 301,100 tonnes in the previous month; down 193,500 tonnes or 33.36% from 580,000 tonnes in the corresponding period last year. Meanwhile, industrial palm oil stock at domestic ports amounts to 107,200 tonnes, a decrease of 4,000 tonnes or 3.59% from 111,200 tonnes last week.

 

Region
/Port

Edible Palm Oil Stocks0'000 tonne

Industrial Palm Oil Stocks

W43

W42

Change

M-O-M

Y-O-Y

W43

W42

Change

Tianjin Port

9.45

9.78

-0.33

48.81%

-3.57%

2.7

2.8

-0.1

Hebei

0.9

0.5

0.4

12.50%

80.00%

0

0

0

Shandong Port

3.15

3.95

-0.8

34.04%

-15.32%

1.78

2.07

-0.29

East China

7.78

9.35

-1.57

10.35%

-51.97%

3.7

3.9

-0.2

Guangdong

13.08

13.76

-0.68

37.54%

-37.26%

1.84

1.85

-0.01

Guangxi

1.84

1.9

-0.06

-5.64%

-44.74%

0.7

0.5

0.2

Fujian

2.45

3

-0.55

16.66%

-31.94%

0

0

0

Total

38.65

42.24

-3.59

28.36%

-33.36%

10.72

11.12

-0.4

 

 

II. Goods Arrivals

 

China is projected to bring in 670,000 tonnes of palm oil (RBD palm olein 550,000 tonnes and industrial palm oil 120,000 tonnes) in October, unchanged from last week, according to the latest statistics by Cofeed. And palm oil imports in November are expected to be 750,000 tonnes (RBD palm olein 600,000 tonnes and industrial palm oil 150,000 tonnes), up by 30,000 tonnes from the estimate in the previous week.

 

III. Margins and Shipments

 

Date

Sailing Schedule

CNF
USD/tonne

Duty Paid
(CNY/tonne)

DCE
(CNY/tonne)

Import Margin

10/19/2020

Dec, 2020

777.5

6258

5846

-412

Feb, 2021

735

5920

5622

-298

Mar, 2021

725

5841

5622

-219

Apr, 2021

715

5761

5622

-139

May, 2021

710

5721

5622

-99

Jun, 2021

700

5642

5464

-178

10/20/2020

Dec, 2020

777.5

6244

5942

-302

Feb, 2021

735

5907

5700

-207

Mar, 2021

725

5828

5700

-128

Apr, 2021

715

5749

5700

-49

May, 2021

705

5669

5700

31

Jun, 2021

695

5590

5518

-72

10/21/2020

Dec, 2020

775

6190

6024

-166

Jan, 2021

755

6032

6024

-8

Feb, 2021

745

5953

5788

-165

Mar, 2021

735

5874

5788

-86

Apr, 2021

730

5835

5788

-47

Jun, 2021

710

5677

5560

-117

10/22/2020

Dec, 2020

785

6282

6122

-160

Jan, 2021

757.5

6065

6122

57

Feb, 2021

740

5926

5826

-100

Mar, 2021

735

5887

5826

-61

Apr, 2021

720

5768

5826

58

May, 2021

715

5729

5826

97

Jun, 2021

710

5689

5570

-119

10/23/2020

Dec, 2020

795

6380

6076

-304

Jan, 2021

775

6222

6076

-146

Feb, 2021

755

6063

5760

-303

Mar, 2021

745

5984

5760

-224

Apr, 2021

730

5865

5760

-105

May, 2021

720

5786

5760

-26

Jun, 2021

710

5707

5524

-183