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China’s Palm Oil Stocks and Arrivals Weekly (Week 46, 2020)

2020-11-17 www.cofeed.com

I. National stocks

 

In the week ending November 13th, edible palm oil stocks in China total 391,100 tonnes at nationwide ports, up by 5.8% from 369,700 tonnes a week earlier; down 31,300 tonnes or 7.41% from 422,400 tonnes in the previous month; down 259,700 tonnes or 39.9% from 650,800 tonnes in the corresponding period last year. Meanwhile, industrial palm oil stock at domestic ports amounts to 111,400 tonnes, an increase of 2,100 tonnes or 1.9% from 109,300 tonnes last week.

 

Palm oil stocks rise this week due to more arrival of vessels and slack demand. And palm oil consumption slows down as weather gets colder. Moreover, market expects the imports of RBD palm olein in November to be as high as 650,000 tonnes. It is projected that palm oil stocks still carry the potential to rebound in later period.

 

Region
/Port

Edible Palm Oil Stocks0'000 tonne

Industrial Palm Oil Stocks

W46

W45

Change

M-O-M

Y-O-Y

W46

W45

Change

Tianjin Port

9.97

9.63

0.34

1.94%

81.27%

2.2

2.4

-0.2

Hebei

0.3

0.4

-0.1

-40.00%

-65.91%

0

0.1

-0.1

Shandong Port

1.71

1.5

0.21

-56.71%

-64.52%

1.01

1.26

-0.25

East China

8.08

6.65

1.43

-13.58%

-63.69%

5.5

4.7

0.8

Guangdong

16.03

14.76

1.27

16.49%

-39.05%

2.08

2.13

-0.05

Guangxi

2.12

2.93

-0.81

11.57%

11.57%

0.35

0.34

0.01

Fujian

0.9

1.1

-0.20

-70.00%

-73.52%

0

0

0

Total

39.11

36.97

2.14

-7.41%

-39.90%

11.14

10.93

0.21

 

 

II. Goods Arrivals

 

China is projected to bring in 800,000 tonnes of palm oil (RBD palm olein 650,000 tonnes and industrial palm oil 150,000 tonnes) in November, according to the latest statistics by Cofeed. And palm oil imports in December are expected to be 700,000 tonnes (RBD palm olein 550,000 tonnes and industrial palm oil 150,000 tonnes). Both are flat from the estimate last week.

 

III. Margins and Shipments

 

Date

Sailing Schedule

CFR
USD/tonne

Duty Paid
(CNY/tonne)

DCE
(CNY/tonne)

Import Margin

11/9/2020

Jan, 2021

840

6634

6384

-250

Feb, 2021

820

6478

6074

-404

Mar, 2021

800

6322

6074

-248

11/10/2020

Jan, 2021

837.5

6642

6450

-192

Feb, 2021

817.5

6485

6118

-367

Mar, 2021

797.5

6328

6118

-210

Apr, 2021

785

6231

6118

-113

11/11/2020

Dec, 2020

890

7042

6644

-398

Jan, 2021

855

6768

6644

-124

Feb, 2021

840

6651

6298

-353

Mar, 2021

820

6495

6298

-197

Apr, 2021

800

6338

6298

-40

11/12/2020

Dec, 2020

885

7027

6628

-399

Jan, 2021

865

6870

6628

-242

Feb, 2021

850

6753

6300

-453

Mar, 2021

840

6674

6300

-374

Apr, 2021

820

6517

6300

-217

May, 2021

795

6321

6300

-21

11/13/2020

Jan, 2021

855

6795

6670

-125

Apr, 2021

810

6442

6494

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