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China’s Palm Oil Stocks and Arrivals Weekly (Week 13, 2021)

2021-04-06 www.cofeed.com

I. National stocks

 

Edible palm oil stocks in China take a further dip this week as boatloads arrival remains low. In the week ending Apr 2, edible palm oil stocks in China total 419,300 tonnes at nationwide ports, down 4.57% from 439,400 tonnes last week; down 179,700 tonnes or 30% from 599,000 tonnes in the previous month; down 305,700 tonnes or 42.17% from 725,000 tonnes in the corresponding period last year. In the same period in former years, palm oil inventories were 762,200 tonnes in 2019, 689,100 tonnes in 2018 and 547,100 tonnes in 2017. On an average from 2016-2020, palm oil stocks reached 641,500 tonnes. Additionally, industrial palm oil stock at domestic ports amounts to 117,300 tonnes, a descent of 1,700 tonnes or 1.43% versus 119,000 tonnes in the previous week. Edible palm oil stockpiles will likely keep falling in the near term result from lower palm oil imports in April.

 

Region
/Port

Edible Palm Oil Stocks0'000 tonne

Industrial Palm Oil Stocks

W13

W12

Change

M-O-M

Y-O-Y

W13

W12

Change

Tianjin Port

5.3

6.9

-1.6

-40.45%

-25.35%

1.9

2

-0.1

Hebei

1.13

1.47

-0.34

-38.92%

13.00%

0.07

0.03

0.04

Shandong Port

0.87

0.9

-0.03

-64.49%

-78.25%

1.36

1.36

0

East China

11.85

13.05

-1.2

-30.42%

-48.81%

5.15

5.1

0.05

Guangdong

16.595

17.83

-1.235

-24.74%

-45.18%

3.05

3.18

-0.13

Guangxi

3.435

2.89

0.545

-25.65%

-10.31%

0.2

0.23

-0.03

Fujian

2.75

0.9

1.85

-8.33%

-12.70%

0

0

0

Total

41.93

43.94

-2.01

-30.00%

-42.17%

11.73

11.9

-0.17

 

 

II. Goods Arrivals

 

China’s palm oil imports in April are expected to be 400,000 tonnes (RBD palm olein 250,000 tonnes and industrial palm oil 150,000 tonnes), according to Cofeed’s latest statistics. In May, China is projected to bring in 450,000 tonnes of palm oil (RBD palm olein 300,000 tonnes and industrial palm oil 150,000 tonnes).

 

III. Margins and Shipments

 

Date

Sailing Schedule

CNF
USD/tonne

Duty Paid
(CNY/tonne)

DCE
(CNY/tonne)

Import Margin

3/29/2021

May, 2021

987.5

7745

7508

-237

Jun, 2021

957.5

7512

6792

-720

Jul, 2021

912.5

7163

6792

-371

Aug, 2021

890

6988

6792

-196

Sep, 2021

872.5

6852

6792

-60

Oct-dec,2021

855

6717

6568

-149

3/30/2021

May, 2021

1010

7950

7402

-548

Jun, 2021

965

7599

6704

-895

Jul, 2021

925

7287

6704

-583

Aug, 2021

897.5

7073

6704

-369

Sep, 2021

875

6898

6704

-194

3/31/2021

May, 2021

970

7629

7326

-303

Jun, 2021

920

7240

6648

-592

Jul, 2021

890

7006

6648

-358

Aug, 2021

865

6812

6648

-164

Sep, 2021

852.5

6715

6648

-67

Oct-dec,2021

830

6539

6450

-89

4/1/2021

May, 2021

995

7834

7558

-276

Jun, 2021

950

7484

6838

-646

Jul, 2021

922.5

7269

6838

-431

Aug, 2021

895

7055

6838

-217

Sep, 2021

880

6938

6838

-100

Oct-dec,2021

857.5

6763

6644

-119

4/2/2021

Jul-Sep, 2021

890

7005

6874

-131

 

Date

Cargoes

Sailing Schedule

CNF
USD/tonne

Duty Paid
(CNY/tonne)

Qty.
0'000 tonne

4/1/2021

3

Jul-Sep

890

7201

3.6